Electoral-vote.com today projects a 58-42 margin for the Democrats.

Minnesota:  E-V has not updated its recent 40-39 edge to Sen. Coleman (R) over challenger Al Franken (D).  Coleman appeared to pull away slightly in polls late last week, including a 6 point margin in the NBC/Mason-Dixon poll and 3 points in Research 2000/DailyKos.  The two most recently released polls out of Minnesota, however, show similar advantages for Franken:  Dem firm, PPP gives him a 5 point lead; and the Star-Tribune today gives Franken a 4 point lead (with a 4.1 point margin of error).  A "toss-up" indeed, as the Strib notes the "outcome likely to be decided by who can snatch away the most voters from third-party contender Dean Barkley."

North Carolina:  No recent results have been released, and incumbent Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) lags behind challenger Kay Hagan (D) by approximately 5 points when taking an average of last week's numbers. 

Georgia:  Last week's polling numbers show incumbent and EFCA opponent Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) with a slight lead over challenger Jim Martin (D).  The most recent Rasmussen poll has Chambliss ahead by 5, with the other polls giving him a slimmer point or two lead.

Mississippi:  Roger Wicker (R), appointed to fill the seat last year until this election, appeared to have a growing lead over challenger Ronnie Musgrove (D), but there have been no new results in about a week.  The most recent RCP average showed Wicker with a 7 to 13 point lead.

New Hampshire:  EFCA supporter Jean Shaheen (D) has been polling similarly ahead of incumbent Sen. John Sununu (R), showing an average 9.8 point lead in numerous polls from last week.

Oregon:  Last week's RCP average placed Challenger Jeff Merkley (D) ahead of incumbent Sen. Gordon Smith (R) by 5.3 points, but the most recent poll, by Rasmussen, showed a narrowing of the gap to just 3 points.  Still, Senator Obama is polling ahead by over 15 points in the state, and may have long enough coat-tails to pull Merkley through.

Taken all together, if the recent polling data holds up on Election Day, the Democrats would hold a 55 to 42 seat advantage in the Senate.  Two Independents who vote with them on economic issues like EFCA, pushes the tally to 57-42.  Making that Minnesota "toss-up" all the more critical.

Stay tuned for a wild finish....